WTC situations – England’s possibilities take a success – SL, Bangladesh nonetheless in competition
Sri Lanka
P.c: 42.86, collection ultimate: New Zealand (two house Checks), South Africa (two away), Australia (two house)
England
P.c: 42.19, collection ultimate: Pakistan (3 away Checks), NZ (3 away)
England’s sudden defeat at The Oval towards Sri Lanka way they are able to not breach the 60% mark on this cycle. The utmost they are able to reach now, with wins of their six ultimate Checks, is 57.95. That might nonetheless be sufficient if different effects cross their method.
As an example, if India run clear of the remainder of the pack, then England can end 2nd if Australia get not more than 42 issues out of the 84 on be offering from their seven ultimate Checks, and if different groups keep under 57.95 as neatly. If Australia end on height then England want India to take not more than 58 issues and keep under 57.95. Then again, if England drop extra issues – 5 wins and a draw will scale back their share to 54.92 – they are going to want much more assist from different groups.
India
P.c: 68.52, collection ultimate: Bangladesh (two house Checks), NZ (3 house), Australia (5 away)
India stay on height of the desk with a wholesome share of 68.52, however they nonetheless have 10 suits to move, probably the most for any workforce. To stay their share above 60 – they certified for the 2023 ultimate with 58.8 – they want 63 extra issues, which they are able to reach with 5 wins and a draw. Six wins will raise the proportion to 64.03, however to compare their present ranking they are going to want seven wins, which is able to raise their total share to 69.3.
Australia
P.c: 62.50, collection ultimate: India (5 house Checks), SL (two away)
Lately in 2nd position, Australia want 47 extra issues from their ultimate seven Checks to complete at the proper facet of 60%. They are able to reach that with both 4 wins, or 3 wins and 3 attracts. To a big extent, their ultimate status depends upon what number of issues they rack up within the five-Check house collection towards India.
Bangladesh
P.c: 45.83, collection ultimate: India (two away Checks), West Indies (two away), South Africa (two house)
Pakistan
P.c: 19.05, collection ultimate: England (3 house Checks), SA (two away), WI (two house)
Pakistan now not simplest misplaced 2-0 to Bangladesh, however in addition they dropped six issues because of sluggish over-rates. Their share dropped from 36.66 in the beginning of the collection to 19.05. From right here, the utmost they are able to reach is 59.52, in the event that they win every in their seven ultimate Checks.
New Zealand
P.c: 50.00, collection ultimate: SL (two away Checks), India (3 away), England (3 house)
New Zealand have performed simplest six out in their 14 Checks on this cycle. 5 in their 8 ultimate Checks shall be in Asia. Out of the 96 issues to be had, they want a minimum of 65 to complete on 60%. That suggests 5 wins and a few attracts (or six wins), however it is a tricky ask given 3 of the ones Checks shall be in India.
South Africa
P.c: 38.89, collection ultimate: SL (two house Checks), Pakistan (two house), Bangladesh (two away)
If South Africa win every in their subsequent six Checks, they are going to end on 69.44, which is able to nearly for sure take them to the general. They’ve house collection towards Sri Lanka and Pakistan later this 12 months, excluding what generally is a difficult two-Check collection in Bangladesh.
West Indies
P.c: 18.52, collection ultimate: Bangladesh (two house Checks), Pakistan (two away)
West Indies have already performed 4 collection and feature simplest scored 20 issues out of 108. Even though they win their closing 4 Checks, they are able to simplest end on 43.59%.
S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats
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